About Real Estates

In many ways 2006 was the non-year for real estate. The National Association of Realtors(R) reported that sales will be down in 2006 about 9 percent from 2005, a record setting year.Many markets waited for spring market which was disappointing. Markets then believed buyers would re-group in summer,and buyers were a no-show. Fall and last market hopes were dashed when fall came and went, with plenty of traffic at open houses, but few contracts.

Pent-up demand from a lackluster 2006 should drive buyers back to market. But, these savvy buyers will be on the lookout for realistic prices and seller give-backs. Most buyers will tell you point-blank that their income gains in the last five years have not matched rises in home home prices. Real estate markets won’t bounce back until home sellers realize as prices go up, the pool of buyers shrinks proportionately. Buyers with a home to sell will include a home-sale contingency, so sellers should be prepared to accept one.

Inventory levels will remain in the six to seven moth range. Listing leftover’s from 2006, will roll into 2007. The leftovers are either un-realistic sellers whose pricing is from the “froth years” or their homes haven’t been updated to keep up with the stiff competition and time-starved buyers.

Mortgage rates will remain in the 5.5% to 7% range. Historically low, but low rates by themselves haven’t motivated buyers to write real estate contracts in 2006.

Foreclosures will rise. Risky loans such as Interest-Only, Option ARM’s and 100% financing will tap out buyers whose used these “appreciation-oriented” mortgages.

Prices will drop 4-10% before leveling off in the majority of non-seller’s markets. Homes that are priced right and are in good condition which offer features and finishes that buyers demand, will sell close to list price in moderate market times. Flat or negative appreciation.

Florida, Arizona, California and Washington D.C., will have unstable markets. Until sellers get a reality-oriented wake-up call markets in these locales will sputter and hiccup.

Ten states posted solid sales gains in the second quarter of 2006 versus 2005. Reported the National Association of Realtors(R). The gains ranged from an impressive 48% in Alaska to a low of 5.3 percent in Georgia. The other eight states included Arkansas, Texas, North and South Carolina, Vermont, Tennessee, New Mexico, and Wyoming.

Residential real estate will return to being viewed as shelter and housing and trend away from being viewed as a speculative investment.

What about 2008? Stable, pre-frenzy market with appreciation at 1% annually.

Loaning with just one hitch is one of the most disturbing loan trends he talks about that became very popular between 2001 and 2005. Otherwise known as negative amortization loan, this is when a borrower can’t afford a high interest rate because the monthly payments are too high. To close the deal, the loan agent comes up with a monthly payment and interest rate that satisfies both the borrower and the lender. BUT, there’s just one hitch. They give the borrower a lower monthly payment based on a 1 percent or 2 percent annual interest rate, but the rate on the actual overall loan is much higher.

Before the real estate market crash of 2008, there were the prophets. They spoke of a real estate balloon that was bound to burst and take down the real estate market as well as the economy. Even with all of this prophesying, many were taken by surprise when the once lucrative real estate market began to crumble.

So, what caused the collapse? The main culprit was the subprime lending market. When this market crashed, a large amount of companies faced foreclosure. Even the companies that did not foreclose suffered losses that amounted to billions of dollars.

You may have already heard news reports about the subprime market crash. If you are like most, however, you may not know what the crash meant to individual property owners. You may even have questions regarding how we got in this situation to begin with.

Over the past few years, subprime mortgages were the biggest trend in real estate lending. Buyers who were unable to qualify for conventional mortgages could obtain financing via a subprime mortgage. People who obtained these loans often had to pay high interest rates.

Lenders obtained the money to pay for these mortgages from a variety of sources. Many companies secured loans at low interest rates and then loaned that money out to buyers at a higher rate. Some of the money was borrowed from central banks.

While the housing market remained relatively stable, the ill consequences of these loans could not be seen clearly. In fact, the market was experiencing a surge in value that was unprecedented. This surge resulted in an unrealistic expectation of the future real estate market which in turn caused lenders to put even more money into funding mortgages that new homeowners could ill afford.

In 2005 and 2006, the last real boom was occurring in the real estate market. During this time, it was extremely easy to get a loan. Lenders thought that they would be able to make money from buyers even if they did not pay for the mortgage through the high interest rates they were charging and the ever-increasing value of real estate. But when interest rates started to rise, people stopped buying homes. Additionally, homeowners started failing to make payments due to the interest rate spike.

It became harder and harder for lenders to obtain funds to invest into mortgages. Buyers, now unable to qualify for a loan easily, began to stop looking for a home to purchase. Investors became wary, and underwriters started increasing the requirements to qualify for a loan. People who had adjustable rate mortgages sought desperately to decrease their skyrocketing monthly payments. But they could not qualify for a new, fixed loan under the strict guidelines. This only caused the number of foreclosures to rise dramatically resulting in the real estate market crash of 2008